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Interesting thing...

Discussion in 'Game Discussion' started by AAZ7, 7 Sep 2018.

  1. AAZ7

    AAZ7 Active Member

    Joined:
    1 Jun 2017
    Messages:
    214
    I've noticed one curious thing...
    We all have streaks of winning and losing, so... When I have "season max" infamy for some time, and when I get close to it again (like one more win will give me new season top), I can never win that single battle, lol.
    Every. Single. Time.
    Got close to new record - lose. Again and again and again. And only after a few tries I can get new season max =)))
    But if I'm coming from the infamy 200-300 lower than top, I got always stuck for some time. No matter how long was winning streak right before that =)
    Did anyone notice similar? =)
     
    AAZ7, 7 Sep 2018
    #1
  2. ViscountSniffit

    ViscountSniffit Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    3 Sep 2017
    Messages:
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    Yes, it does ‘feel’ like that, but it is probably some kind of cognitive bias, rather than a real pattern.

    However, as you approach your maximum infamy, you’re also at the furthest point from your average infamy. So your chance of winning will likely be as far below 50:50 as you’re ever likely to be. Which might be a statistical explanation for why it seems to happen.
     
    ViscountSniffit, 7 Sep 2018
    #2
    SAME DIFF3R3NC3, Aether_Zero, Shadow Moon! and 3 others like this.
  3. AAZ7

    AAZ7 Active Member

    Joined:
    1 Jun 2017
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    Possible... But this season my max is only 3497, which is far lower than in a few previous seasons (3700-3800).
    So it's not so easy to estimate "average" =)
     
    AAZ7, 7 Sep 2018
    #3
  4. ViscountSniffit

    ViscountSniffit Well-Known Member

    Joined:
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    There is also ‘power creep’ to consider. Every week people at your infamy get new items and perks from the guild raffle and events, and make upgrades. So your average might slip backwards a little from week to week, if you don’t keep up.
     
    ViscountSniffit, 7 Sep 2018
    #4
    SAME DIFF3R3NC3, StrictSalmon307, ShipCrusherCz and 1 other person like this.
  5. AAZ7

    AAZ7 Active Member

    Joined:
    1 Jun 2017
    Messages:
    214
    Correct. Too many variables to consider =)
     
    AAZ7, 7 Sep 2018
    #5
    ShipCrusherCz likes this.

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